July 2000

in the world. In the United States most of
the
thunderstorm
activity
takes
place
in
the spring and summer months. Although
possible in the early morning hours, most
of these summer bashers take place in the
late afternoon and early
evening.
Ingredients for thunderstorms are un-
stable air, an initial updraft, and high mois-
ture content. Yet,
with
these
same
condi-
tions present, there can also be fairweather.
Often
balloon
pilots
have
taken
off
for an afternoon flight only to be surprised
by a rapidly developing cell. It’s at
those
times
they
wish
that
they
were
on
the
ground. One sourceto help you determine
the
likelihood
of
thunderstorms
is
the
stability chart.
The stability
chart is compiled from
observations taken by radiosondeballoons
at
reporting
stations
around
the
country.
Raw data is gathered by means of a radio-
sonde instrument carried aloft by balloon.
Pressure, temperature, and
dew point are
evaluated
from
the radiosonde transmis-
sions.
This information about
the
physi-
cal
properties
of
the
atmosphere
over
a
particular
geographic
location
at
a
par-
ticular time is then transcribed to an atmo-
spheric
sounding
diagram.
It
creates
a
display
which
includes
stability,
cloud
layer, freezing
level, potential icing
lev-
els, and
the temperature at any altitude.
The stability chart is composed ofthe
Lifted
and
K
indexes.
Data
gathered
is
used
to
plot
the
Lifted
Index
(see
box
nearby for these computations). Air with
a
Lifted
Index
above
+4
is
considered
stable; values less than 0 indicate unstable
air; and values between 0 and +4 indicate
The K Index
measures the
moisture
content
of
the
air.
The
index
will
range
from less than -10 to more than +40. High
readings indicate wet conditions and
low
readings indicate dry
conditions.
The stability index
looks
like a frac-
tion—the Lifted Index is on top and the K
ing
weather
you
want
a
high
numerator
and
low denominator.
The ingredients necessary for a thun-
derstorm
are moisture, lifting, and insta-
bility. Thestability chart allows you to see
if these conditions are present. Look at the
figures showing the stability chart and the
K Index
The Lifted Index
is compu ted by
lifting an imaginary parcel of air from
the surface up to the 500 millibar level
(about 18,000 feet). As the air is lifted,
it
cools
by
exp ansion.
The
tempera-
ture
that
the
parcel
would
be
at
that
altitude is
subtracted
from
the actual
temp erature.
Th e
d ifference
is
the
Lifted
Index.
Temperatures are expressed in de-
grees
Celsius
and
the
result
can
be
positive, zero, or negative. Should the
lifted
air be cooler than
the measured
air,
the
result
will
be positive. That
is
the lifted air would sink, and therefore
stable. If the lifted airparcel is warmer,
theresult would benegative. Thelifted
air would rise, and the air is considered
unstable.
If
the result
is
zero,
it
indi-
cates that the air lifted to 500 millibars
would be the same temperature as the
existing 500 millibar temperature. This
is neutrally stable air.
The K Index indicates the mois-
ture content. It combines moisture and
stability, but does not depend on lift-
ing. K Index is computed using the
following formula:
K = [Temperature (C) at 850 mil-
libar level minus Temperature (C) at
500 millibar level] + [Dew point at 850
millibar level minus Temperature Dew
point spread at 700 millibar level]
The Lifted Index deals with the
lapse rate and is proportional to the
mean lapse rate. A large temperature
difference shows a steep or unstable
lapse rate. Put another way, the greater
the difference, the more unstable the
air. The KIndex equation involves two
elements. The first is a measure of low-
level moisture, the second a measure of
saturation. The greater the spread, the
drier the air.
July2000
Lifted and K indexes were
reported at
1200Z and the radar summary at 1735Z.
Notice the low Lifted Index and high K
Index numbers bothalong the Gulf Coast
and inthe upper midwest. The radar sum-
maryshowsthe thunderstorm activitythat
developed.
Table 1 provides a quick reference
Index
Impact
Negative
(Unstable)
(Wet)
showers or
thunderstorms
hazardous
Negative
(Unstable)
(Dry)
light precipitation
with thermals
(Stable)
(Wet)
precipitation
winds
(Stable)
(Dry)
air;
light
winds
be used to estimate most likely areas of clouds and precipitation. The K index should be compared with the Lifted Index.
Correlation between the indices and resulting weather vary with seasons and in different sections of the country. Also, extent
of instability that develops depends on the degree of surface heating or on forced lifting such as by sloping terrain or a front.
First estimates made from the chart are only preliminary to detailed flight planning.
dexes in the stability chart. These are
issued twice a day at 0000 Zulu and 1200
Zulu (Greenwich Mean Time or GMT).
A very useful tool for the balloon
pilot analyzing the probability of thunder-
storms, this chart shows the locations of
stable, unstable, and neutrally stable air.
Unstable air contributes to thunderstorm
tion you can make a more intelligent go-
no-go decision.
For more information on the Stabil-
ity Chart and Lifted and K Indexes see
Aviation Weather Services,U.S. Govern-
ment AC 00-45.


2:
Radar
Summary
Chart
issued
at
1735Z.
Note
the
thunderstorm
activity along
Gulf Coast
and
upper midwest.
conditions along the Gulf Coast and upper midwest. Stable condi-
tions exist across Illinois, Indiana and Ohio in contrast.