August1999
Denniston recently talked with Pierre
Eckert, Centre Meteorologique, Geneve
(Geneva), one of the meteorologists on
the Breitling Orbiter 3 team who made the
first non-stop round the world flight pos-
sible. Following is part of that interview.
Why did you wait so late in
the winter season
to
launch?
Pierre Eckert:
The Chinese government
imposed a rule on all teams that they must
pass south of the 26th
parallel. This con-
dition
is
not easy
to reach
from
Switzer-
land
which
is around
46
degrees
N.
lati-
tude.
Neither
was
it
easy
for the
others,
but we were more patient.
We had
been
looking
since
November
to
find
good
starting conditions which finally appeared
on the first of March.
What were the conditions you
were
looking
for?
PE:
First
we
needed
calm
wind
condi-
tions and no
precipitation
for 12 hours at
the launch site, Château-d’Oex, Switzer-
land.
At
altitude,
we
were
looking
for
winds from
the northwest, leading
us
to
Egypt as quickly as possible. It turned out
that such
conditions would
always bring
the balloon quite quickly back to thenorth
in
the region
of the Caspian
Sea.
By
the
middle of January
we had
the idea to try
another strategy, looking rather for winds
from
the
north
to
north-east,
heading
to
Morocco. This
was
to leave time for the
low over the Mediterranean Sea to vanish
or to
move eastwards.
When you did go for takeoff, howfar
ahead were you looking and what did you
see?
PE:
We
gave
a
first
warning
four
days
before
launch.
Taking
into
account
that
we wanted to know a trajectory for about
five days,
it
meant
looking
9
to
10
days
ahead. When
we made the final decision,
we
were
quite
confident
that
we
could
reach
Oman,
our
intermediate
goal
for
through
the
south
of
China,
in
about five days.
When Orbiter was
over Mauritania,
the
core
of
the
jetstream
was
blowing
toward
Iraq, but
lower it was blowing
to
Saudi Arabia, further south. Can you
ex-
plain how that can
be?
PE:
The
winds
always
change in
direc-
tion and speed
with the altitude, just as at
lower
altitudes.
The
winds
that
you
de-
scribe were true at that
moment,
but it is
not
always
the
case.
Anyhow,
we
knew
from the beginning that wehad to fly quite
low for the first part of the flight. It is the
reason
why
we
loaded
the balloon
with
four extra bottles of propane.
the mosquito that was on board? Was it
not Swiss-born? Might he not have put it
in a cage, and fed it? Did it have malaria?
PE: Ask Bertrand.
The Cable and Wireless balloon was
trying to get to the Polar jetstream rather
than
fly
the
Sub-Tropical
jetstream
be-
cause
they
feared being dumped
in
mid-
Pacific. What did
you think about that?
PE:
We also
considered taking
the Polar
jetstream
to cross the Pacific. Three rea-
sons
made us
choose the southern route.
First, the polar jet stream is often
associ-
ated
with
precipitation
and
turbulence.
Second,
the
northern
route
would
have
led us to the USA and the northern Atlan-
tic
where
it
is
impossible
to
fly
at
high
altitude
because of
the
heavy
civil
avia-
tion traffic. Third, the southern route was
possible,
with
a
nice
jetstream
getting
ready
to
blow
from
the
middle
of
the
Pacific towards Mexico.
When
Orbiter arrived at
the Pacific,
were you
clear that the flight
would con-
tinue? Was
this the most critical point of
the voyage?
PE:
When
we
came
out
of
China,
the
speed
was good
enough
so that
the deci-
take. The choice between the northern
and the southern route came after the first
third of the crossing. This choice was
critical indeed, but the flight never was
assured. It always needed attention.
The decision to
try to pick up
a not-
yet-formed Sub-Tropical jetstream south
of Hawaii was gutsy Tell
us about it.
PE:
The Sub-Tropical
jetstream
was
not
present at the moment
we took
the deci-
sion to go there. But all our models showed
its
development
south
of
Hawaii
three
days later. I have to admit that this is a big
success
for
numerical
weather
models.
The crewwas not very confident with that
decision. They had
to
fly
slowly for two
days and they had to go down to 9 degrees
of latitude.
Incredible, isn’t it?
The
rest
of
the
trip
seemed
pretty
straightforward. Were there any problems
on the last half of the flight?
PE:
When
we
arrived
over
Mexico
the
track was moreto the south than expected.
We
planned
to
pass
over
Yucatan
and
Cuba but when we arrived over Honduras
and headed towards Venezuela we had to
stop
that
movement.
This
was
solved
at
the
last
minute
by
climbing
only
1000
feet. Astonishingly the track
changed
by
25
degrees
and
brought
us
back
to
the
right track
to
Africa.
Did
you
use
computer modeling
by
filling
in
current
data, and letting it
run?
How
far
out
were
you
predicting
accurately?
PE:
We
used
only
the commonly
avail-
able numerical models from the National
Oceanographicand AtmosphericAdmin-
istration,United States and European Cen-
tre for Medium
range
Weather Forecast,
Reading,
United
Kingdom,
without
fit-
ting
in
our
own
wind
observations.
In
some
cases,
like
the
jetstream
south
of
Hawaii, the prediction has
been accurate
8 to 9
days
in advance.
Twenty Days